Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,574,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,119,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,574,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd57…694dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,051,671$83,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,267.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 7,925,449$65,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,439.33 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 3,960,834$31,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,110.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…b166backed Yes | 1c | 3,188,874$24,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,988.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…56a3backed Yes | 1c | 2,060,672$23,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,859.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Yes | 2c | 1,977,203$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,945,225$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,843.7 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…d8eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,618,882$13,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,553.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 2c | 1,500,000$22,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,666.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 1,397,056$9,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,032.32 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 2c | 1,353,628$20,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,533.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…8b22backed Yes | 0c | 1,337,856$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…3b36backed Yes | 1c | 1,296,018$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,818.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 1c | 1,293,374$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.82 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 1c | 1,191,000$12,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,981 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…5de9backed Yes | 1c | 1,030,519$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…e0e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,028,473$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,387.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 2c | 968,794$16,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,506.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 1c | 952,323$6,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…6d03backed Yes | 0c | 942,571$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…43bbbacked Yes | 0c | 938,280$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…346cbacked Yes | 1c | 885,122$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 1c | 861,086$11,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,278.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…9188backed Yes | 2c | 848,437$18,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,244.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6169backed Yes | 1c | 758,792$10,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,128.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…e556backed Yes | 0c | 717,532$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…0fd4backed Yes | 1c | 711,818$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…6e11backed Yes | 1c | 670,282$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 0c | 665,474$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…10e4backed Yes | 2c | 648,671$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,859.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 1c | 609,247$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 601,728$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes | 1c | 586,938$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 1c | 564,997$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 2c | 558,004$12,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,289.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe879…7081backed Yes | 1c | 551,512$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…2882backed Yes | 1c | 544,643$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…0205backed Yes | 1c | 537,968$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…17a6backed Yes | 1c | 537,786$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 1c | 526,233$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.4 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…6612backed Yes | 1c | 474,735$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a850backed Yes | 0c | 431,992$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 408,650$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.53 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Yes | 1c | 395,716$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 1c | 395,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…fbdebacked Yes | 1c | 388,482$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…1a6bbacked Yes | 2c | 384,361$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…9383backed Yes | 1c | 318,515$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…4511backed Yes | 2c | 310,135$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,610.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…1ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 299,848$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…8c31backed Yes | 1c | 291,640$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Yes | 2c | 269,436$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…ad50backed Yes | 1c | 265,557$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…9118backed Yes | 0c | 256,009$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked Yes | 1c | 253,666$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Yes | 1c | 253,415$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1824backed Yes | 1c | 252,294$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed Yes | 1c | 250,049$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…146bbacked Yes | 0c | 248,630$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…04bdbacked Yes | 2c | 244,790$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b6f1backed Yes | 1c | 244,364$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4758…0b34backed Yes | 1c | 235,817$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18e…3535backed Yes | 2c | 231,942$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 1c | 229,175$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 1c | 228,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Yes | 0c | 225,104$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca56backed Yes | 1c | 221,499$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 1c | 220,782$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Yes | 1c | 220,046$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc227…b18abacked Yes | 0c | 218,788$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…97edbacked Yes | 1c | 218,042$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…1e65backed Yes | 2c | 216,903$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…9bf1backed Yes | 1c | 216,370$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 1c | 215,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…fd3bbacked Yes | 1c | 208,151$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…5689backed Yes | 2c | 205,587$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 1c | 202,277$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…e79dbacked Yes | 1c | 199,280$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…c685backed Yes | 1c | 196,250$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…b7bfbacked Yes | 1c | 195,180$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 188,800$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Yes | 1c | 181,260$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 172,667$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…9c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 172,272$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…a7e7backed Yes | 2c | 168,941$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…c102backed Yes | 1c | 166,452$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…4e68backed Yes | 2c | 166,359$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…3f61backed Yes | 0c | 165,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 160,294$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.62 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 2c | 160,214$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.21 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 0c | 160,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 152,645$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.36 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 151,163$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3e86backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 2c | 148,792$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…76c3backed Yes | 1c | 148,123$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…c1bebacked Yes | 2c | 146,964$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Yes | 2c | 144,216$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.