Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f4542341fcc66a2197877b7487ebe901b689ec42bcdbb0a070f5536d91459e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,523,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,426,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,523,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,049 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 35c | 1,557,474$544,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544,748.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,474,929$198,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,309.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…7a6fbacked Yes | 11c | 889,701$101,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,313.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…42dabacked Yes | 26c | 875,427$231,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,869.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 13c | 715,679$89,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,694.85 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 3c | 709,793$20,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,584.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 25c | 548,121$135,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,257.9 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 39c | 519,646$201,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,110.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 6c | 513,583$30,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,815 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…2ca4backed Yes | 0c | 499,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…78b0backed Yes | 3c | 469,452$13,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,395.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 6c | 425,174$26,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,958.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…6b20backed Yes | 5c | 400,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 45c | 366,960$163,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,301 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0573…5f76backed Yes | 34c | 301,437$101,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…3c28backed Yes | 11c | 294,188$32,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,881 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 11c | 278,002$31,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,079.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Yes | 0c | 277,000$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 58c | 271,174$156,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,854.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 19c | 246,969$46,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,534.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…082abacked Yes | 16c | 241,511$39,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,042.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…d459backed Yes | 4c | 235,705$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 28c | 224,713$63,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,938.44 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Yes | 28c | 213,700$59,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,629.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 52c | 202,327$105,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,069.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…e79dbacked Yes | 3c | 201,601$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 5c | 200,141$9,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,207.17 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 5c | 200,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…5f85backed Yes | 7c | 199,158$14,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,598.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 35c | 187,382$65,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,954.88 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 31c | 182,155$56,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,468.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 31c | 181,199$55,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,543.53 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Yes | 28c | 175,392$48,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,650.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 8c | 170,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76dcbacked Yes | 9c | 169,742$14,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,678.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 28c | 161,955$44,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,580.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Yes | 3c | 159,519$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 31c | 158,958$49,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,277.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 6c | 152,823$8,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640.58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 55c | 133,429$73,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,418.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 4c | 131,350$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.1 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…f1edbacked Yes | 3c | 131,295$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 51c | 130,575$66,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,162.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes | 21c | 129,000$27,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,090 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 26c | 125,835$32,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,587.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 54c | 123,088$66,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,884.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…64c4backed Yes | 50c | 118,984$59,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,901.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…cf02backed Yes | 1c | 117,460$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…962ebacked Yes | 3c | 113,288$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 11c | 113,276$12,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,775.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 36c | 111,445$40,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,038.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 18c | 110,169$19,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,455.1 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…08e9backed Yes | 24c | 109,824$26,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,608.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 47c | 109,178$51,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,477.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 46c | 104,525$48,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,492.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed No | 49c | 103,586$50,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,828.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…7abdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 34c | 98,921$34,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,044.81 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 14c | 98,000$13,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,569.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…441fbacked Yes | 3c | 96,436$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 66c | 95,343$63,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,334.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…d8eabacked Yes | 3c | 91,418$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 51c | 89,706$46,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,135.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 86,915$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 54c | 86,815$46,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,595.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Yes | 6c | 83,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ff…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 80,463$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 80,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…74babacked Yes | 8c | 80,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed No | 38c | 79,158$30,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,746.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 3c | 76,568$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…5f55backed Yes | 19c | 76,460$14,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,685.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 65c | 76,000$49,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,577.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 6c | 75,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 34c | 73,653$24,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,907.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 32c | 73,612$23,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,511.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked Yes | 43c | 72,901$31,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,426.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…fa65backed Yes | 4c | 72,720$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…a99cbacked Yes | 4c | 69,982$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 5c | 69,420$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…d1d6backed Yes | 2c | 69,332$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…1453backed Yes | 3c | 67,934$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ca…56b9backed Yes | 4c | 66,062$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 76c | 65,782$49,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,961.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 7c | 65,217$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…9b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 65,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…189bbacked Yes | 34c | 64,006$21,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,789.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1824backed Yes | 3c | 63,627$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes | 15c | 63,112$9,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 26c | 62,523$16,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,482.24 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…59d8backed No | 32c | 61,606$20,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…ac98backed No | 57c | 58,618$33,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,290.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…b501backed Yes | 27c | 58,078$15,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,766.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…209ebacked Yes | 4c | 55,987$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.79 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 30c | 55,245$16,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,383.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes | 7c | 55,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Yes | 10c | 53,680$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…9e2bbacked Yes | 13c | 52,778$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…2673backed Yes | 3c | 52,663$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.