TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96ef…5523

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT11842.4%50 W · 68 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$31.85
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24.23
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$86.85
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.7
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,425.65
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,261.23
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36%+$494.24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$1,809.09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$252.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.08
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.67
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,232
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$892.44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,408.33
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,965.36
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.95
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$437.4
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$127
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,731Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$3,115.49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,738Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$2,062
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,747.3
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,346.16
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$1,431.99
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,727Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.6%+$1,064.22
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$223.79
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,725.73
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.1%+$38.18
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$797.53
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,992Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.2%+$2,639.12
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$485.55
Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$932.76
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+175.4%+$2,314.57
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,498.19
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$22,261.11
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26,684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+116.1%+$30,989.24
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$11,290.66
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,132.12
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.14
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Janice Tjen vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.94
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.04
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$74.83
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49%+$66.98
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.98
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$79.24
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.5
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazuabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21
Brisbane International: Emerson Jones vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.3%+$45.44
Brisbane International: Clara Tauson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Brisbane International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
ASB Classic: Sinja Kraus vs Francesca Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$32.68
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sara Bejlekbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.28
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$134.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,393.53
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,284.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+140.3%+$4,750.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+60.9%+$3,915.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+177.7%+$1,286.55
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,983Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+277.7%+$24,943.53
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$840
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$57.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$294.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.76
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.83
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.75
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$364
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001.64
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+423.6%+$139.96
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$83.58
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.55
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$42.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$924.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28%+$3,190.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$7.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$285.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.