Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f68095c6f41a29bff62f003478a4bd2db09bc723b0f13bd0f4d367879e0c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $740,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 23c | 56,361$12,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.44 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 80c | 40,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 37,412$9,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.33 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 66c | 24,745$16,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.97 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 29c | 20,374$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 19c | 19,338$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.4 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 16c | 19,020$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…0da3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 65c | 8,746$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 74c | 8,035$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 29c | 7,849$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.77 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 57c | 7,672$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked Yes | 77c | 6,744$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.63 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 36c | 6,644$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.3 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 20c | 6,500$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 45c | 6,447$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 29c | 6,433$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 68c | 6,198$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 67c | 5,961$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.78 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 23c | 5,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed No | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 23c | 4,559$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.36 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes | 68c | 4,487$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 7c | 4,345$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed No | 3c | 4,305$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 69c | 4,060$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.75 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Yes | 74c | 4,049$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…de8abacked Yes | 74c | 4,021$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…54a4backed Yes | 79c | 3,945$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed Yes | 68c | 3,758$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 69c | 3,752$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 17c | 3,700$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…79eebacked No | 23c | 3,674$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 53c | 3,507$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.57 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,350$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 74c | 3,090$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 25c | 3,039$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 70c | 3,020$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.19 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…7f27backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 31c | 3,000$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…3d32backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked No | 20c | 2,695$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 36c | 2,663$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,609$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 31c | 2,592$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 73c | 2,360$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.32 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 65c | 2,358$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 65c | 2,309$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.91 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 2,291$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.87 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 10c | 1,900$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…71b0backed No | 19c | 1,835$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 76c | 1,831$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 23c | 1,800$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,670$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 67c | 1,651$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff35…7e0fbacked No | 18c | 1,579$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed No | 17c | 1,563$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 64c | 1,556$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…8af8backed Yes | 78c | 1,495$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Yes | 78c | 1,488$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…8fcfbacked Yes | 78c | 1,480$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 80c | 1,410$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…e4aebacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 80c | 1,396$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 1,392$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked No | 38c | 1,329$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 78c | 1,311$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…d689backed No | 10c | 1,295$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…63babacked Yes | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 19c | 1,239$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,200$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…df53backed Yes | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 64c | 1,181$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.61 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,165$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…e105backed No | 43c | 1,151$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 42c | 1,145$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 70c | 1,087$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed No | 20c | 1,034$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked No | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…6820backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…36b1backed Yes | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 65c | 988.56$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…34f6backed Yes | 67c | 937.34$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 16c | 927.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 74c | 924.29$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 57c | 900$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 74c | 896.1$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 25c | 877.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 23c | 868.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 66c | 850$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…fcdebacked Yes | 79c | 849.81$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.