Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4788c5625061cf39da5265dec7d29103d5c8adf774d49b1ffae9025c4563dc9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 117,586$11,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,126.11 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,703$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 1c | 28,998$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 15,967$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 11c | 7,700$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.99 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 20c | 6,395$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.48 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 2c | 6,324$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 14c | 6,234$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 76c | 5,532$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed Yes | 18c | 5,313$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…81e8backed Yes | 1c | 5,202$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 4,314$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 33c | 4,074$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.1 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 3,300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 2c | 3,083$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,045$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 3,037$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…23c6backed Yes | 9c | 2,862$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 2,750$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 1c | 2,685$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 69c | 2,501$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…0115backed Yes | 9c | 2,344$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,316$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 14c | 2,155$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 79c | 2,097$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 5c | 2,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 17c | 2,055$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,999$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed No | 79c | 1,846$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,771$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 77c | 1,725$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 43c | 1,466$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 1,456$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…ba4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,403$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 55c | 1,376$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 58c | 1,300$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…1f45backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed No | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 12c | 1,237$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,183$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 1,180$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 11c | 1,166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 14c | 1,130$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 13c | 1,111$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…f5f4backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 9c | 969.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 58c | 900.01$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 855.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 14c | 849.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 45c | 841.46$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 52c | 828.36$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…40ecbacked No | 63c | 802.81$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 792.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 16c | 771.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…6d52backed Yes | 5c | 684.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2c4cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 17c | 650$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed Yes | 3c | 640.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 18c | 634.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 16c | 611$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeafa…944abacked Yes | 24c | 600.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed Yes | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 61c | 560.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 18c | 557.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked No | 79c | 549.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 21c | 540.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…cb58backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…d7d9backed Yes | 14c | 475.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 7c | 454.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.54 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +11.0wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…0497backed Yes | 4c | 404.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…d701backed Yes | 6c | 404.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 40c | 376.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 21c | 359.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Yes | 13c | 354.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…ea89backed Yes | 16c | 348.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 19c | 345.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 19c | 337.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked Yes | 3c | 321.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746b…8a94backed Yes | 32c | 309.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…382cbacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 23c | 256.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…543ebacked Yes | 21c | 243.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…52dfbacked Yes | 13c | 226.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.