Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x828aaec481308550a867fff3bd1e497ca1ebb5998fcf1fb40aaa4abfeb85db26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,497,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,651,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,497,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 14c | 134,683$18,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,243.85 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 3c | 107,201$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 7c | 106,101$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.58 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 11c | 100,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 11c | 95,902$10,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,696.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 4c | 93,600$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 92,771$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.7 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 22c | 83,539$18,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,625.34 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 79,910$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.01 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 45,712$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.64 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 44,524$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 10c | 42,095$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.86 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed Yes | 15c | 38,460$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 78c | 38,358$29,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,365.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 21c | 34,676$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,398.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 32,023$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.25 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 75c | 32,000$23,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,059.92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 11c | 30,436$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 30,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 4c | 27,805$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 11c | 23,668$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.14 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 24c | 23,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 28c | 21,554$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.87 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 17,544$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.77 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 7c | 15,797$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.11 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 26c | 15,000$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…9413backed Yes | 20c | 14,175$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…6fddbacked Yes | 26c | 14,041$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 20c | 13,995$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 72c | 13,670$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,525$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…6b9abacked No | 77c | 12,874$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 79c | 12,800$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 5c | 12,602$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.01 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked Yes | 19c | 11,000$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 6c | 10,353$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 17c | 9,769$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.65 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 13c | 7,996$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.01 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,934$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 7,634$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…df6cbacked Yes | 21c | 7,526$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…6ab5backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 19c | 7,315$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…3e72backed No | 74c | 7,044$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 77c | 7,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 25c | 6,893$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.36 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 79c | 6,820$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 68c | 6,647$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.38 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 26c | 6,449$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.92 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 15c | 6,250$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.5 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 6,092$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e5…f2cabacked No | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 72c | 5,560$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 74c | 5,360$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.01 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 10c | 5,073$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 1c | 5,014$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…cadcbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 29c | 4,882$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…754cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,780$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,750$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…2c23backed Yes | 6c | 4,311$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…31d1backed No | 72c | 4,200$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…011abacked Yes | 32c | 4,200$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 8c | 3,978$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,895$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 27c | 3,775$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,752$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…89a1backed No | 70c | 3,719$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,600$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…e7a5backed No | 76c | 3,348$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…d0a6backed Yes | 5c | 3,294$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,221$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 31c | 3,208$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.49 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb3…220ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,172$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…7775backed Yes | 6c | 3,161$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 16c | 3,122$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 78c | 3,099$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 3,037$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 69c | 3,008$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,973$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…a1ecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,914$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 70c | 2,789$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed No | 72c | 2,772$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…625ebacked No | 78c | 2,691$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,681$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed Yes | 33c | 2,666$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…d6ddbacked Yes | 10c | 2,664$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 31c | 2,660$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 10c | 2,620$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.