Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,720,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,105,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,720,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 460,405$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 284,613$216,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,501.12 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 37c | 114,190$42,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,638.75 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 10c | 78,748$7,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,687.81 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 17c | 71,885$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,239.51 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 25c | 70,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 55c | 64,634$35,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,929.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 23c | 55,824$12,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,621.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 19c | 55,674$10,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,656.62 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 61c | 54,076$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,075.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 43c | 53,283$22,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,810.23 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 48,167$11,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,148.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 47,571$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.33 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 53c | 37,926$20,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,685.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 11c | 36,187$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 57c | 35,122$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,121.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 33,401$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.97 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 44c | 30,604$13,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,394.28 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 36c | 27,768$10,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,033.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 12c | 25,428$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 59c | 24,687$14,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,140.28 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 14c | 23,039$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 61c | 21,405$12,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,420.83 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed Yes | 32c | 20,190$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,446.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 19,134$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.46 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 45c | 19,108$8,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,614.01 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 76c | 19,105$14,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 37c | 18,507$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 77c | 18,243$14,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.79 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 11c | 18,000$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 21c | 17,485$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.22 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked Yes | 12c | 15,920$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 31c | 15,500$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.01 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 26c | 14,683$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.23 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…07dbbacked No | 59c | 14,314$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 9c | 13,902$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 69c | 13,846$9,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 79c | 12,636$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 28c | 12,195$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 26c | 11,499$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 44c | 11,485$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…df6cbacked Yes | 25c | 10,893$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 78c | 10,612$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.99 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 51c | 10,451$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 79c | 9,547$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.39 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 22c | 9,465$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 43c | 9,388$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.32 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 9,290$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.97 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…be4cbacked No | 55c | 9,274$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 38c | 8,300$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…923bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,013$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 40c | 7,991$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 80c | 7,653$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.75 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 66c | 7,515$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.79 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 18c | 7,011$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.31 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 70c | 7,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Yes | 18c | 6,689$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…11d7backed Yes | 42c | 6,505$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 45c | 6,470$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 25c | 6,355$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.24 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 45c | 6,200$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed Yes | 1c | 6,126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…9dc1backed Yes | 56c | 6,100$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 48c | 6,007$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 33c | 6,004$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…9a26backed No | 75c | 5,934$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Yes | 46c | 5,804$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 76c | 5,750$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,501$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 49c | 5,400$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…f5f4backed Yes | 10c | 5,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…d3a5backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.99 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 60c | 4,960$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 4,935$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 25c | 4,712$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 78c | 4,624$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 48c | 4,402$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 73c | 4,356$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.87 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 61c | 4,262$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes | 39c | 4,174$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 78c | 4,146$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…6c6cbacked Yes | 18c | 4,133$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 15c | 4,034$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.54 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked No | 68c | 3,986$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 41c | 3,916$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.03 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0689…5813backed Yes | 44c | 3,915$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 9c | 3,905$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 57c | 3,800$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,726$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 3,699$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…fe62backed No | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 20c | 3,598$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.08 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.