TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbc5…e175

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Commodities, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$815
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,558.58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,089.9
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$8,330.78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$123.03
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+210.2%+$1,160.41
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$533
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$4,469.26
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.88
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$193
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.09
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$191
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$3,049.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$979.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$2,046.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$8,420.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,750.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$14,619.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+199.9%+$1,215.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$4,741.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,225.77
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$95.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$8.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.8%+$895.35
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$336.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.91
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$201.89
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$383.18
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$159.6
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$771.27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+89.1%+$15.44
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$38.44
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.1%+$37.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.