Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f69b5a336cd1c57bc8897683c6d50c3b94e7094c2464307361ac18b09abbbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 55c | 4,447$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.79 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,051$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 47c | 1,585$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.74 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 42c | 1,179$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…468dbacked Yes | 52c | 940.28$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 53c | 932.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 63c | 708.41$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 35c | 695.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 680.49$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.78 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 44c | 546.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Yes | 43c | 452.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 40c | 437.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 408.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed Yes | 43c | 340.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 50c | 300.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…9c17backed No | 52c | 298.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 42c | 285.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked No | 60c | 277.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 229.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…aa4cbacked No | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 58c | 194.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 8c | 184.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 44c | 179.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 163.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…7b51backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 47c | 140.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Yes | 42c | 137.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 54c | 134.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed No | 60c | 127.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…bee1backed Yes | 42c | 126.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…36b2backed Yes | 43c | 98.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb5…cc10backed Yes | 49c | 98.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dac…3b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 96.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 44c | 92.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…4602backed Yes | 54c | 90.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 74c | 76.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 16c | 69.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 69.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 40c | 60.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 33c | 59.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 46c | 57.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 37c | 56.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…ba61backed Yes | 50c | 52.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…0596backed Yes | 47c | 41.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…7670backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x918f…cb84backed Yes | 50c | 38.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed Yes | 56c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…926abacked Yes | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ef65backed No | 47c | 27.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 51c | 24.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?No won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.