TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ffd…e7c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
631
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT51631.6%163 W · 353 L-29.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 516 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+71%+$21.29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$8.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.08
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+87%+$52.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.67
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.3
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$25.54
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.17
Showing 25 of 516 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.19
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.07
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.06
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.34
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.94
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$43.64
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.89
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$50.06
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-64.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.65
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.94
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.56
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$41.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.