Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c90ebbc118f05258956bf5210e0cbf9f7e9f0f5461a5e9e06abc9b05ef342df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 636.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 607.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 13c | 599.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 8c | 574.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 14c | 526.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 78c | 424.29$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 21c | 354.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 334.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 39c | 299$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.39 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 10c | 272.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 269.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 41c | 213.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 202.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 202.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 40c | 186.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 56c | 162.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 67c | 143.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 136$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 119.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 111.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 59c | 107.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 57c | 103.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 61c | 96.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 60c | 93.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 26c | 84.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 60c | 60.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 58.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 35c | 58.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 65c | 56.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 43c | 44.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 41c | 42.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 60c | 38.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 39c | 35.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 42c | 32.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 50c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 66c | 26.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 62c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.