Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e903f0de408ff1c85e6f5971bcfbdd9eb23b3a8759b7d348d5e542b2889b517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 13,155$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.23 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 12,570$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 3,923$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 1,344$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 666.05$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 593.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.84 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 37c | 521$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 33c | 493.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 4c | 345.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 30c | 308.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 31c | 293.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 288.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 35c | 174.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…dee3backed Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 29c | 147.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 115.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 105.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 104.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 92.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 72.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 60.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 60.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 31c | 60.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 53.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 49.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 44.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…d781backed No | 70c | 41.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1889backed Yes | 31c | 37.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 34.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 33c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 68c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.