TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No45c35,233$15,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,854.7215647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No46c20,075$9,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,234.719649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c12,466$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,074.9777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f44…4d89backed Yes55c5,800$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes63c4,913$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.9914761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c4,872$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.3923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes54c3,602$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.9223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c3,011$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.541,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c2,726$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.83,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes55c2,578$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No46c1,847$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes73c1,715$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.542250%11 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes54c1,641$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.779854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Yes54c1,607$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes55c1,275$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c1,242$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.7997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No43c1,226$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Yes55c927$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No8c743.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6447748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c731$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes54c721$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6613046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes55c627$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes55c617$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c565.79$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes55c562$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes54c555.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.557149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No46c549.85$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.934959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes54c538.01$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c530$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Yes55c480.46$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.215156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No34c476.6$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.44837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No45c455$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.445851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes63c432.67$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.152030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c427.37$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Yes55c422$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes55c422$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes55c393.95$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes56c371$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.241675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes55c363.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6312146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Yes55c340$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes77c321.77$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7915676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes72c306.12$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes55c282$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes55c282$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes54c282$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.724252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No8c255.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes55c246.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9915458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes55c246.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes55c237.22$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.461540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No12c230.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes57c226.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes55c226$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c220.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Yes56c216$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f3…504fbacked No62c213.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Yes55c203$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked No62c200.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b3…fda5backed No62c200.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…2f5dbacked No62c199.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Yes55c199$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988a…6179backed No62c198.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed No62c198.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d2…ba63backed No62c197.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked No62c197.61$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…fcdcbacked No62c197.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e27…a24cbacked No62c196.36$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x907c…dd5fbacked No62c196.36$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed No62c195.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaccb…5b2ebacked No62c195.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e35…beabbacked No62c191.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e82…14bcbacked No62c188.9$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes55c187.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4119052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes59c174.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.232642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes55c170.23$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.454957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Yes55c143$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Yes55c143$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No44c135.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-66.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes56c123.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.325349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No18c121.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Yes55c118$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Yes55c115$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Yes55c115$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Yes55c115$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes52c111.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.646357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes55c109.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.074047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes55c106$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.71752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.