Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64470fb24dc19f90d633246429ce97076c09ca01038cf50702a682be263c86b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 2,966$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 14c | 2,260$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 1,915$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 580.27$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 442.64$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 23c | 430.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 310.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…18ebbacked No | 50c | 215.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…1003backed No | 52c | 214.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…0fadbacked No | 50c | 210.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…b722backed No | 50c | 209.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…85e6backed No | 52c | 209.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 209$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…553dbacked No | 50c | 208.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…efadbacked No | 50c | 208.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed No | 50c | 206.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…591bbacked No | 52c | 206.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed No | 50c | 204.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…36e0backed No | 52c | 203.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed No | 50c | 202.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…3ab8backed No | 52c | 202.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…e3d3backed No | 52c | 200.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…3a8abacked No | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…740dbacked No | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed No | 52c | 200.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked No | 50c | 199.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…9389backed No | 50c | 199.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…f8c7backed No | 50c | 199.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…95a1backed No | 50c | 199.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…6582backed No | 52c | 199.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed No | 52c | 199.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…d716backed No | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…31d8backed No | 50c | 198.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7ca5backed No | 50c | 198.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…c156backed No | 50c | 197.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed No | 50c | 197.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…87a5backed No | 50c | 197.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…8be9backed No | 50c | 197.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…d917backed No | 50c | 197.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed No | 52c | 197.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…a200backed No | 50c | 196.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed No | 50c | 196.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…10c0backed No | 50c | 196.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…5280backed No | 50c | 196.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…546ebacked No | 50c | 196.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…2980backed No | 52c | 196.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…4471backed No | 52c | 195.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked No | 50c | 195.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…7898backed No | 50c | 195.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…0deebacked No | 50c | 195.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…4f82backed No | 52c | 194.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…5cb2backed No | 50c | 194.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…c973backed No | 50c | 193.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…d3a0backed No | 52c | 193.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…0579backed No | 50c | 192.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…1cb4backed No | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…4304backed No | 52c | 191.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…8431backed No | 50c | 191.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e0fabacked No | 52c | 190.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…116abacked No | 52c | 189.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…beabbacked No | 52c | 189.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…6782backed No | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…14bcbacked No | 50c | 188.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…3b8cbacked No | 50c | 188.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…a93cbacked No | 50c | 186.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…ecf2backed No | 50c | 186.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…1ea4backed No | 50c | 186.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed No | 50c | 185.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 19c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed Yes | 23c | 135.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 128.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked No | 77c | 122.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 101.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 64.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 77c | 60.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…d24abacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 77c | 32.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd57…9d52backed No | 78c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.