Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6106ec8cac7dc5328f2ffb42bfd8bc4a00ed768455f0ac09d866cf475e874221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 44c | 2,181$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.58 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 1,767$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.53 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 1,659$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.77 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 924.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 58c | 448.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 447.24$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 70c | 412.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 410.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 410.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 329.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 16c | 294.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 282.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 270.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 51c | 250.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 43c | 233.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed No | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 46c | 207.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 206.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 49c | 196.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 49c | 196.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 51c | 190.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 48c | 161.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 161.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 122.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 102.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 45c | 97.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 46c | 75.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 47c | 70.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 62.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 36c | 58.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 54.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 50.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 50.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 48c | 46.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 36c | 41.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 34.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.