Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4aeb6ca56a042bc9d94305290221cc3e1566032dd20aab606cf4a54042ed00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 57c | 103,232$58,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,841.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 43c | 53,730$23,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,626.19 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 43c | 29,870$12,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,025.71 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 9,547$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.82 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 4,267$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.19 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,419$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 54c | 1,338$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.1 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 1,338$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.71 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.08 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,035$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 958.26$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.21 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 780.08$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 689.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.74 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 580.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 44c | 552.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 528.75$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 499.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 32c | 468.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 26c | 423.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 42c | 362.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 316.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 43c | 218.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 167.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 151.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 43c | 151.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 43c | 133.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 44c | 125.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 123.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 122.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 111.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 100.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 60.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…49ebbacked Yes | 22c | 58.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 56c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 43c | 44.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 64c | 44.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7cefbacked No | 44c | 39.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 58c | 39.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 43c | 36.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 31.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 42c | 31.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 48c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 43c | 28.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 55c | 24.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 57c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 55c | 19.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 57c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.