Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f4e58fdd3fe9138e3c947e5c5e376f35cedd6a0167c223a8d71afe2056ccf61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 2,302$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.7 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,289$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 709.15$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 670.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 32c | 494.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 425.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed No | 36c | 394.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 238$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 44c | 184.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 13c | 147.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 77.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 68.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 69c | 58.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 39.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 33c | 34.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed Yes | 72c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 65c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 72c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.