TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes33c5,437$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.8615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No68c3,882$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.091353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c3,314$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.7977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes32c2,641$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.019649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No67c2,543$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.1123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c2,331$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.113,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes65c2,119$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c2,019$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.121,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c1,767$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.761,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c1,495$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c1,492$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No67c1,347$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.7113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes30c1,300$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+82%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes35c1,279$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3515676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c1,190$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c951.92$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.8623643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No8c780.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2627058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c779.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.1947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No7c589$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.239437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes30c577.97$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No21c492.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9920535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c435.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4415051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No7c355.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No33c346.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…09c7backed Yes62c339.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes72c336.69$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No64c307$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No69c300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.475156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes80c280$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes29c258.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.878661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c234.36$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes60c229.14$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No32c228$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes31c171.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.312646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes55c151.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.287951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0610853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1931834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes47c122.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.68241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c122.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes68c121.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes63c121.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No22c119.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No14c104.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.321827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No33c100.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.473834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes33c97.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.617334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No67c97.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3112849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6312667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No70c72.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes30c71.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No66c70.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c68.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7512254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bf…a0c8backed Yes31c56.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No68c56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.929245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c54.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.091,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No48c51.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8514151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No40c46.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No41c45.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.346752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No27c44.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes34c43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.388836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c41.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.210754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No36c37.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6519056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c36.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No67c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.123663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No71c31.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes63c31.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c31.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No72c31.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No34c29.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.276056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No66c29.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.198568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No67c28.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No68c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.048760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e67…240cbacked Yes67c26.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes60c26.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.518041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes70c25.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.696358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No51c25.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4754…c1fdbacked Yes74c21.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed No70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No68c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes68c19.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.249458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No64c18.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.563762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.