TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$632,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$627,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes39c203,833$79,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,551.6513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e35…1fe1backed No62c188,452$116,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,811.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No61c156,142$95,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,935.6615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No59c123,408$72,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,574.299649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes38c100,000$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,999.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes39c83,916$32,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,830.3823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No61c49,100$29,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,14915748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c44,370$18,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,519.7697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No61c20,807$12,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,114.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes39c20,042$7,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,816.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c19,793$7,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,880.0277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No57c17,575$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,557.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes40c10,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9502650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c9,329$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.7121547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c8,398$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.983,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c5,287$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.2947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes40c3,704$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes12c3,558$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.963528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes43c3,342$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.064949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes44c3,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes40c2,947$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes34c2,679$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.2541339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Yes45c2,367$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes38c2,339$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8891266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c2,143$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes35c1,998$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.0744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes32c1,598$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes40c1,531$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No62c1,373$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes39c1,278$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.555056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c1,211$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5161758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes41c1,110$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.955851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes40c1,040$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5514151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes40c1,032$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.155856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Yes38c1,019$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Yes38c1,014$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes40c1,007$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.149458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c989$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No78c964$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No54c899.99$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.795156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes42c859.96$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes40c761.05$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9212254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No67c750.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0522269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No68c738.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2519172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes40c706.63$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.725250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c686.36$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes40c589.8$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7715458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes43c588$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.841675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c553.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.315051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c540.5$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes41c514.17$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8150%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes40c499.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Yes43c492$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.561154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes38c488.79$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2137138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes41c474$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes41c463.87$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes34c450$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked No62c443$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes40c426.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.744959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c425.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes40c414.78$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.656752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes43c410$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes40c383.62$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.210655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Yes37c362.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1190%0 W · 9 L-4.9wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes40c361.37$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes40c354.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.019250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No62c341.5$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.771752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Yes43c329$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed No61c326.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes39c307.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes40c305$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.91,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c301.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.568661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No57c296.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes40c294.65$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.862035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes41c277.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.911844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes43c263$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.092360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes39c256.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.975160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes40c246.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9724859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes41c244.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.986358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…b7a6backed Yes21c239.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c222.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6520535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes38c211.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.242646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes43c211.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.85349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.