Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d785bd9aba93644d2bce0a1ce987ce2a8282ae60e5f3a8cfa39e943857e795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 3,788$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.17 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 32c | 3,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…690dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 2,914$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.22 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 2,082$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.33 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 25c | 999.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 829.02$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 27c | 514.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 501.17$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 465.29$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 407.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 340.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 16c | 185.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 29c | 166.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 165.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 152.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 20c | 152.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 72c | 147.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 127.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 118.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 106.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 27c | 100.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 97.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 95.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 90.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 90.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 75c | 90.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 83.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 28c | 80.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 80.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 80.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 28c | 77.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ca8fbacked Yes | 19c | 72.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 76c | 53.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 49.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 75c | 49.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 49.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 25c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 39.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 80c | 37.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed No | 75c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 24.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 80c | 22.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 77c | 21.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 73c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.