TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x979d…87dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.75
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.8
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.05
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+77%+$23.33
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.23
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.85
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.15
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.53
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.4
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.97
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.85
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.42
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.71
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.77
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.85
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$15.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.86
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.85
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.7
Alcorn State Braves vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+132.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.52
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$50.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$82.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.35
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$44.82
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$60.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$87.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.