Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb9024a42701cf685ad3acc37d477a56aae998e35cd0788edc73345a9f645f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 77,005$36,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,043.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 76,988$40,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,033.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 3,413$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.14 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.97 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 48c | 1,120$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 694.3$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over | 48c | 534.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 47c | 438.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 337.31$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 307.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 48c | 285.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 49c | 284.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 47c | 277$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 9c | 257.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…f36fbacked Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Over | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 50c | 196.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 52c | 195.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 54c | 186.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 177.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 52c | 172.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 50c | 150.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 48c | 148.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 50c | 107.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 104.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6370…44e1backed Over | 49c | 102.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Under | 48c | 86.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 81.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 52c | 78.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…0f96backed Over | 52c | 77.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 58.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 26c | 49.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…b653backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dac…96e2backed Over | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 40.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…2856backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…525ebacked Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…6d08backed Under | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…4c11backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d9eabacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…4cc3backed Over | 39c | 28.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 47c | 25.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Under | 63c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…2907backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Over | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…5c3cbacked Under | 79c | 13.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.