TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,575 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Paper Rex45c11,540$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG55c4,604$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NRG69c4,474$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.574845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Paper Rex55c4,000$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.995642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Paper Rex42c3,711$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG62c2,989$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.8734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Paper Rex61c2,780$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.145347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Paper Rex47c2,121$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.673060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG49c1,741$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.7119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG57c1,528$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.1868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG53c1,510$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.926051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG62c1,502$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG56c1,376$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked NRG52c1,360$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.892759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paper Rex47c1,229$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.2819046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG57c1,200$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed NRG50c1,182$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.122951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed NRG45c1,042$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.223050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NRG58c999.61$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4533759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed NRG52c963.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed NRG52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5410956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked Paper Rex42c948.69$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex54c929.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG55c905.66$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.621,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed NRG42c897.42$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG64c814.18$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG42c795.49$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.454637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG50c767.7$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.855939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex3c700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked NRG52c692.83$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.831764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex48c630$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4434847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Paper Rex59c590.28$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3463852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Paper Rex43c578.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483941%16 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9228247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed NRG54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5610661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked NRG46c510.11$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.113148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG53c508.25$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Paper Rex39c500$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.24755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG64c484$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.988751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG56c472.72$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Paper Rex56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG54c378.83$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex25c370.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.041,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked Paper Rex57c352.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex35c351.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed NRG64c333$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Paper Rex50c309.23$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.627650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Paper Rex36c289.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.063351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex40c285$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.388837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed NRG43c273.64$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.899952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Paper Rex28c272.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.545225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Paper Rex37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex44c269.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8214652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Paper Rex56c266.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex9c251.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6324732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c20…3e11backed Paper Rex30c215.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.382045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex37c213$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.589042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paper Rex44c209.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Paper Rex50c200.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed NRG51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed NRG49c196.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed NRG51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Paper Rex38c192.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex38c178.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.243129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Paper Rex35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Paper Rex13c153$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…467bbacked Paper Rex28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Paper Rex37c140.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Paper Rex50c137$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG57c134.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2723146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Paper Rex56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Paper Rex47c132.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.734963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed NRG62c120.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Paper Rex35c109.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.174535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd8…6dcabacked Paper Rex36c104.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Paper Rex31c102.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.619142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…e8acbacked Paper Rex54c100.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1506…4690backed NRG51c98.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.632263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…09afbacked Paper Rex36c98.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Paper Rex32c93.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.883834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b9…9d98backed Paper Rex55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f2…1183backed NRG54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49050%45 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked NRG45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5261…3ddbbacked Paper Rex37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked NRG53c80.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.633158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Paper Rex54c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842b…63d4backed Paper Rex14c78.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG65c76.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5228151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc7…613ebacked NRG66c75.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked NRG67c75.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.163762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd007…1066backed Paper Rex28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed NRG43c69.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Paper Rex37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae0…5d62backed NRG67c64.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed NRG54c64.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.533948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex17c59.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG61c59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked NRG51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.