TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$555,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,739 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG61c233,821$142,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,073.557236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Paper Rex40c211,100$85,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,451.192638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG48c25,610$12,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,332.678751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Paper Rex54c18,028$9,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,699.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Paper Rex46c13,030$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Paper Rex56c11,490$6,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,421.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed NRG47c10,999$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,852.5513558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed NRG48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.610455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed NRG51c9,953$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Paper Rex52c9,449$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Paper Rex47c7,902$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG46c7,551$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.6926738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed NRG64c7,069$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.962951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Paper Rex41c6,651$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7544040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex54c6,647$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.3834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked NRG58c6,443$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.913060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG47c6,337$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.9681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG58c5,837$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.1765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG61c5,158$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.5368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed NRG73c4,653$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG46c4,629$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Paper Rex54c4,522$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.3827546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1190…f927backed NRG46c4,190$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Paper Rex37c4,037$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed NRG47c3,940$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.2413345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG58c3,840$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.1653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Paper Rex44c3,632$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.298950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Paper Rex53c3,589$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.953638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfd…7fb1backed NRG47c3,574$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.671020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG60c3,291$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.4388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Paper Rex32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG46c3,002$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.6139042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NRG45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed NRG48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb993…8d3fbacked Paper Rex23c2,874$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.471030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Paper Rex52c2,658$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Paper Rex52c2,467$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.895728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Paper Rex37c2,457$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.315145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked NRG47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.663638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex25c2,085$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1124732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Paper Rex54c2,069$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked NRG76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick59cpaid+59.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG45c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9916142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Paper Rex28c1,949$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.985162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG52c1,882$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.124637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex6c1,850$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.616418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb4fbacked NRG46c1,729$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.563455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed NRG49c1,713$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.3317537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Paper Rex38c1,630$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b1…614fbacked Paper Rex32c1,592$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Paper Rex51c1,567$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Paper Rex45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex55c1,500$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.4813759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed NRG54c1,378$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.852128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paper Rex52c1,311$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5119046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781a…96e6backed Paper Rex15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG59c1,299$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex39c1,297$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.418848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Paper Rex52c1,101$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paper Rex16c1,101$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex50c1,082$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.3119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1c…15f2backed NRG56c1,062$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed NRG52c1,056$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.3934253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG46c1,045$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.075225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked NRG49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.221361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed NRG47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…6435backed Paper Rex54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed NRG47c999.95$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Paper Rex36c980.72$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Paper Rex52c976.01$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.521010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed NRG48c900$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Paper Rex33c857.7$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.042642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed NRG48c826.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.452055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Paper Rex47c800$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Paper Rex52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b87…d7aabacked NRG45c779.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…55b5backed NRG78c770.37$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Paper Rex52c769.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed NRG73c762.3$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0314652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex55c750$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0216639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG57c703.76$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Paper Rex52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Paper Rex45c673.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG48c660.41$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.913642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked NRG47c660.28$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde5…32b5backed NRG47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked NRG56c628.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x679d…6f07backed Paper Rex15c599.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NRG65c595.91$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6633759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG60c590.83$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9270251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66e…f4bebacked Paper Rex52c580.18$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Paper Rex27c572.02$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6154342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed NRG46c558.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed NRG48c523$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.134632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed NRG48c516.67$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6719257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed NRG49c511$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9815942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed NRG45c509.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6216041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex27c508$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.088837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.