TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eb9…cb5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT15145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked KeepBest Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Valorant: AGELITE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked AGELITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.4
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.58
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.99
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: TYLOO vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.79
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Valorant: Contra vs Tezcat Gaming (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Playoffsbacked Tezcat Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.64
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.88
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$83.92
Valorant: DNSTY vs Ramboot Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked DNSTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.64
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$108.79
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$746.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singaporebacked Singapore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandezbacked Luca Castelnuovo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.