MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31292eda8511bf0626061546435168d862f8c30af5dad82275f5e3bcdef681d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 23,987$11,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,053.34 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 18,269$8,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,975.69 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 14,937$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.93 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 13,444$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.57 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 13,048$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.3 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 12,100$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 11,732$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 9,482$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.27 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 7,229$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.56 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 6,526$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.55 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,354$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 5,949$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 5,797$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 5,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,548$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.37 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 5,375$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.34 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 5,290$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 5,052$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.25 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 4,284$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.51 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,056$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.31 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,899$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.4 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,601$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,067$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,840$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 2,817$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.29 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 2,576$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 2,414$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.07 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,394$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.38 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,008$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.64 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,000$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.19 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,616$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.44 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,586$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.41 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,583$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,513$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.15 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 1,485$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,474$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.55 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 1,229$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.81 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.53 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,102$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…8bc2backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 1,077$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,049$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,001$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.39 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.97 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 853$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 796.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 783.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 778.02$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.83 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 702.38$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 620.25$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 613.91$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 599.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 595.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 585.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 508.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 493.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 432.74$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 420$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.86 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 404.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…8718backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 398.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 373.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 360.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 340.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 330.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 323.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 323.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 316.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 310$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 306.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 304.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 300.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 300.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…09ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 346 | 45.1%156 W · 190 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 291.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 288.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 283$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 258.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.