MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910e43735b6ff0e7ff260b059a082eac9fb556a48313fc12d2db8a76bf2794b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 43c | 351,767$150,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,145.73 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 57c | 150,000$85,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 55c | 111,465$61,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,257.63 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 57c | 90,000$51,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,300 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 37,171$20,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,342.63 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 59c | 34,244$20,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,313.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 45c | 27,829$12,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,305.96 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 23,562$10,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,959.22 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 40c | 17,312$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.96 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 11,997$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.92 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 10,247$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 38c | 8,769$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.43 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 8,685$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 56c | 8,121$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.83 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 40c | 4,507$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.29 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 4,481$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Over | 45c | 4,480$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 45c | 4,119$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.74 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 3,620$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.22 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 58c | 3,527$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.88 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 41c | 3,402$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 3,356$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.94 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.16 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 2,959$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.02 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 2,800$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.86 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 2,429$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,188$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 40c | 2,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.47 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 41c | 2,056$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 46c | 2,000$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.03 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 1,995$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.56 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,626$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Over | 45c | 1,544$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 59c | 1,155$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.23 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 45c | 1,066$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.31 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 40c | 932$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 55c | 906.85$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.33 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 57c | 864.94$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.02 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 38c | 850.11$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.57 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 42c | 799.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 57c | 784.13$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.95 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 58c | 754.41$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.84 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 53c | 652.85$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 635$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 40c | 586.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.62 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 552.33$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 47c | 474.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 41c | 428.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 363.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 57c | 359.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 353$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 332.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 44c | 270.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Under | 58c | 250$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Over | 62c | 226.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Over | 75c | 200.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 59c | 182.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 44c | 180.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 179.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 40c | 168.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 56c | 162$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 44c | 152$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 146.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 59c | 140.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 137.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 47c | 135.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 132.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Over | 47c | 124.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 58c | 116.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.