TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3499…60b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.01
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Bengaluru 3: Thanapet Chanta vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.2
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Istanbul: Mert Alkaya vs Georgii Kravchenkobacked Georgii Kravchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.29
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengizbacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+373%+$318.74
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$428.74
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+192.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.