MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63c428998dc6a26ef573309bf668fb535db516688f8fecbbaed9a058482f970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed New York Mets | 47c | 169,595$79,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,875.74 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 118,267$62,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,790.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 38,272$18,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,370.79 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 47c | 30,081$14,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,155.48 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 27,464$17,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 24,020$17,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 23,896$12,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,231.05 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 13,301$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Mets | 0c | 12,412$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 11,766$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.08 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 11,104$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.76 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 47c | 11,095$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Mets | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,101$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.43 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Mets | 8c | 10,022$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.75 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 47c | 8,939$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.33 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 8,564$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 6,164$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 6,158$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 6,000$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.94 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed New York Mets | 40c | 5,921$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 5,097$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 4,676$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 4,506$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,961$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.3 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,796$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,767$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 8c | 3,447$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 3,047$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,933$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,838$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.24 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,612$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,534$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 19c | 2,442$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,385$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.86 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,275$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,259$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,187$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 13c | 2,187$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 1c | 2,167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,146$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,141$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,062$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,028$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.52 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,007$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,978$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,945$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,930$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,839$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,827$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,826$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,794$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,760$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,759$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.34 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,742$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,714$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,592$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,561$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,546$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 1,476$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,379$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.08 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,254$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.95 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,164$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.44 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,129$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,107$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 27c | 1,024$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked New York Mets | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked New York Mets | 2c | 917.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 903.03$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.