TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7c9…0f2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
342
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 68 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT13543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,640
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. 76ers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843.78
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+367.5%+$3,144.35
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,080
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,960
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.6%+$3,845.46
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,919.99
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+97.8%+$1,978
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,345.04
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,059.98
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,422.08
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$311.08
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$622.16
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$243.54
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$973.03
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,911.42
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$605.14
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+417.6%+$10,518.75
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+225.5%+$4,988
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$200
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$5,272.53
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+377.1%+$221.37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+864.2%+$103.7
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$146.2
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$878.52
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104%+$311
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$553.32
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$499.58
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+159%+$1,057.07
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+415.3%+$2,807.84
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+332.4%+$3,731.94
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+400%+$1,187.2
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$240.01
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100.59
Over $5M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+682.2%+$981.69
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+277.2%+$2,613.59
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$354.48
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$265.47
Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.95
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+164.2%+$62.15
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+178.2%+$128.1
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+115.8%+$64.4
Flames vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Oilers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+80.2%+$178
Sabres vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$318
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36.79
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$113.4
Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$52.8
Blue Jackets vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+80.6%+$116
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75.2
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,440
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$1,743.64
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+232.9%+$755.79
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dali Blanchbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$351.37
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Kaja Juvanbacked Kaja Juvan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Bengaluru 2: Christopher Papa vs Philip Sekulicbacked Christopher Papa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.22
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Zagreb: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$430.5
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+142%+$586.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltertbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marton Fucsovics vs Dino Prizmicbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,212.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,114.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$581.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkaribacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesanabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.7
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.62
Will Trump say "Houthi" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Will Trump say "Gaza" 10+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$23.29
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+122.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+79.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+130.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$61.87
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$186.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,870.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Fenerbahcebacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$117.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.