TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3402…9446backed Yes17c14,646$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.674751.1%24 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c12,875$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.582061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Yes36c10,802$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.133756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b0c…7923backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf822…e836backed Yes11c9,840$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5814…c58abacked Yes8c8,598$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No78c8,354$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81217859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes8c8,000$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6496634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ba…0aa6backed Yes14c6,956$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.81812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Yes14c5,030$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.044938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22de…7e1abacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes18c4,641$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.7216247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes7c4,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.961915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f9…cc18backed Yes13c3,500$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…f365backed Yes4c3,279$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…16debacked Yes16c3,198$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.53745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…9810backed No78c2,708$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.381560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e28…2598backed No59c2,596$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No71c2,543$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.73834.2%13 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+91.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes13c2,200$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2848739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c2,014$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.492442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…9fd5backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x283d…1e84backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed Yes6c2,000$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148630.2%26 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes43c1,892$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.286350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0e3…99c6backed Yes15c1,877$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a9…f515backed Yes14c1,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e72…8de6backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes20c1,613$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes4c1,612$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.570%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x953a…aaf2backed Yes21c1,606$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b7…0629backed Yes12c1,583$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd2…e9b9backed Yes15c1,500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes12c1,412$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.778337.3%31 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No57c1,409$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.145655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x8b42…063ebacked Yes21c1,294$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0170%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fb6…ac56backed Yes36c1,260$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.932825%7 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fab…e5a7backed Yes1c1,208$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90a…ad32backed Yes11c1,200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked No75c1,178$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.093855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes19c1,162$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.73336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes15c1,160$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc70…1cf1backed Yes16c1,085$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked Yes13c1,051$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.639222.8%21 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204843.8%21 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7ac…abe4backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd569…48c1backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…6a5cbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86cf…3185backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes20c999.95$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.292231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Yes12c974.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9b…609bbacked Yes11c936.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c921.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.227663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes9c862.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9614335.7%51 W · 92 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes5c849.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.843716.2%6 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab71…53fdbacked Yes13c846.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf888…1bbcbacked Yes12c837.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c826.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.038032.5%26 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfc…1a11backed Yes25c800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae62…05a2backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a56…59b2backed Yes16c793.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.423129%9 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes16c778.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed No72c777$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74e9…3fd7backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…3c20backed Yes13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.570%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad4…1704backed No78c743.38$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.383050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed Yes2c715$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b8…709abacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56b9…99acbacked Yes15c677.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e84…87b7backed Yes17c668.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b4…103fbacked Yes11c658.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc728…0351backed Yes13c655.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes15c650$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2874…c2e7backed Yes43c649.34$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked No72c620.2$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.764136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No56c618$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.926931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f52…6f28backed Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…c453backed Yes11c600$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Yes17c552$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b63…aa97backed Yes5c530$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.334425%11 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…052abacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1490…a742backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21560%0 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe486…8e60backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…9f1cbacked Yes19c464.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.343836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes23c462.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.784924.5%12 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f49…24bcbacked Yes17c452.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd9…ad71backed Yes25c449.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e27…c659backed Yes13c441.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.346114.8%9 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cc…3ee6backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked No73c406.16$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fc…0109backed No73c405.16$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.347847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bb…0696backed Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6052…da09backed Yes10c399.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…68d0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…ed01backed Yes11c380.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981d…ed7fbacked Yes15c373.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.158744.8%39 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…6849backed Yes24c364.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.