TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$710,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$751,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb67…d696backed No23c72,807$16,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,921.47270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed Yes77c35,000$27,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,099.884731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb914…6f94backed No14c32,831$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,131.395100%5 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+908.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x869c…2483backed Yes44c22,749$10,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0141833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e32…1744backed Yes76c20,228$15,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,469.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No14c17,064$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,707.262871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xff44…9e86backed Yes71c16,217$11,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,588.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa792…2066backed Yes78c15,328$11,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,973.071450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…a0e7backed No19c13,677$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+495.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes0c12,497$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.734835.4%17 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed No79c10,163$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.958532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ff…5007backed Yes17c8,536$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes69c7,094$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.886634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed No31c6,753$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+698%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes1c6,188$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad4…1704backed Yes0c6,059$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.123050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No23c5,531$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.747100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+297.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5203…d25cbacked No22c5,023$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ac…fb0bbacked Yes80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001540%6 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No11c4,908$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.9710336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No11c4,705$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.526350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x084c…a134backed No10c4,358$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.463100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,354.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c4,255$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.672061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed Yes65c3,767$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.8820551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No13c3,739$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.523372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed No27c3,714$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+85.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes76c3,690$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.270%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No12c3,629$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20113422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No18c3,577$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9216123%14 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc76…7842backed No27c3,332$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.95135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No10c3,072$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.123369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.995541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked No9c2,940$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.654738.3%18 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+112.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf73c…ab35backed Yes35c2,900$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes1c2,825$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c2,780$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.921010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-85.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked No13c2,698$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c2,658$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.031712.9%5 W · 166 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-37.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes67c2,601$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.085453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf516…1ea1backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No26c2,451$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+927.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes77c2,400$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8541612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb10a…ab03backed No64c2,400$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.28per pick34cpaid+193.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes35c2,301$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.266931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed No12c2,181$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.286937.7%26 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No16c2,100$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.9417859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c88…4c64backed No7c2,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…89c0backed Yes72c1,912$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb335…6584backed No19c1,778$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.185100%5 W · 0 L+4.5wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+992.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4ec1…f20dbacked Yes3c1,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Yes4c1,453$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…acd3backed No7c1,429$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.575100%5 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+1,097%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes75c1,400$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9319…0bfabacked No74c1,358$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.336100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+127.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11be…3968backed No18c1,350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.51190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.43per pick48cpaid+153.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Yes73c1,350$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5358…4503backed Yes5c1,342$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No76c1,295$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.752846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed No38c1,232$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.814843.8%21 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x79a8…1befbacked No20c1,226$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.68100%8 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+205.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed No80c1,186$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…580dbacked Yes80c1,179$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid+257.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8697…86bcbacked Yes59c1,100$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,021$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes3c1,003$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes24c1,000$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.223946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568b…776cbacked Yes70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc9a…2d52backed No24c992.79$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+186.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No10c974.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.8213131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6450…ab14backed No21c965.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No54c929.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.792334.8%8 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes6c925.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.593315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes78c914.33$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32fe…9eb2backed Yes79c900$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71450%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed No32c831.08$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed No41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4724257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a35…0004backed No14c785.71$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.713100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+393.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb6…89dabacked No23c780.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.557100%7 W · 0 L+5.7wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+1,074%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x77a5…7feabacked Yes8c764.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.721216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…adbebacked Yes6c758.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+145%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd8…01c9backed Yes36c748.09$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No28c712.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.5710100%10 W · 0 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdfda…af34backed Yes69c699.99$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4938…ce0cbacked Yes69c679.76$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.032114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked No27c673.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.597100%7 W · 0 L+4.9wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+400.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked No21c624.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.333330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f40…66aabacked No17c623.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5151050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+88.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b23…4528backed No30c621.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.014660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3083…adbabacked Yes80c620$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…b912backed No15c601.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.763050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x836c…acffbacked Yes79c598.14$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5167…cb83backed No79c580$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac26…06ffbacked No17c576.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.59per pick25cpaid+422.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd13d…aa9cbacked Yes69c570.7$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf82…17febacked Yes2c558.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed No27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5614437.5%54 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked No26c538$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.