TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$767,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$849,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23f4…c234backed Yes34c51,537$17,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,433.554938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x869c…2483backed Yes45c37,438$16,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,693.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed No72c31,503$22,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,938.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked No47c20,199$9,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,692.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes49c19,827$9,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,764.44751.1%24 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No78c17,344$13,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.177100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+297.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed No66c15,700$10,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed No64c13,498$8,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.053666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes44c13,267$5,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf909…e5ccbacked Yes28c13,090$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No51c12,226$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.183863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4c68…0df1backed No75c11,548$8,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c11,157$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.412061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae62…05a2backed Yes35c10,227$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No50c9,594$4,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.327270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x5814…c58abacked Yes29c9,171$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.541127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…9802backed Yes26c8,584$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No50c8,136$4,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.376350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No52c7,794$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.154959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No45c7,478$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.353372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No41c7,215$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.6210336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8074…5c76backed Yes57c7,193$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1df…2378backed No47c6,589$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e28…2598backed No46c6,552$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes3c6,500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ba…0aa6backed Yes36c5,640$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes27c5,240$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.156931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec5…1398backed No45c5,139$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+194.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed No70c4,928$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e84…87b7backed Yes48c4,582$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes22c4,450$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb982…ffd8backed Yes25c4,367$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32be…83efbacked Yes45c4,326$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed No69c4,000$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2244938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes26c3,600$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe97…83a8backed Yes3c3,599$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No40c3,563$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.663369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x10b9…9fd5backed Yes48c3,551$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…2640backed Yes28c3,547$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.82128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37f9…cc18backed Yes54c3,500$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab93…c40bbacked No39c3,429$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9319…0bfabacked No58c3,355$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.776100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+127.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe078…0de5backed Yes31c3,260$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+88.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No66c3,209$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.6910100%10 W · 0 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a70…2cd3backed Yes57c3,200$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed No59c3,164$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2996937.7%26 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d77…7b9ebacked Yes23c3,019$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa792…2066backed Yes54c3,000$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.992231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…1c32backed Yes68c2,929$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6a9ebacked Yes40c2,700$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes43c2,692$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed No69c2,593$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+698%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc985…52abbacked Yes26c2,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1340…e38bbacked Yes58c2,403$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…5f21backed Yes47c2,317$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.61225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes33c2,299$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.670%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58a5…c4e3backed No70c2,284$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.954163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Yes48c2,100$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe6…9b73backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…59a4backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4a…5d93backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…4503backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff06…898dbacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked No64c1,850$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6665100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+73.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cd…0e3ebacked No51c1,824$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+153.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes38c1,809$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.8516247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Yes50c1,800$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2874…c2e7backed Yes30c1,800$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed No45c1,724$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No49c1,700$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.8417859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cad…994fbacked Yes53c1,700$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9091258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…c6c5backed Yes56c1,700$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d0…af08backed No50c1,687$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.53333.3%11 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes40c1,656$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.1960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No43c1,642$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.577234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe267…86e4backed No75c1,603$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.325149%25 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd9…ad71backed Yes54c1,600$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8631118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e60…e13abacked No60c1,574$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.034100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+151.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Yes51c1,563$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,510$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.662442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed No64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd569…48c1backed Yes43c1,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Yes66c1,441$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddc3…c453backed Yes34c1,335$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.933033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes3c1,329$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.973716.2%6 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f1…6395backed Yes13c1,307$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+295.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes43c1,297$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.864924.5%12 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed No46c1,292$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.388440.5%34 W · 50 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b1b…a1cdbacked Yes54c1,290$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x429a…c211backed Yes1c1,276$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Yes55c1,222$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.164740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa794…42adbacked No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3481866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0e3…99c6backed Yes39c1,166$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc70…1cf1backed Yes54c1,144$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.227663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes42c1,103$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2914335.7%51 W · 92 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed Yes24c1,098$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.