TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,111,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,182,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,111,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2dfe…94febacked No3c43,732$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,6324100%4 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+1,255%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x28b3…30c8backed Yes72c43,500$31,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,515.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked No48c25,838$12,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,488.04520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbb…084ebacked No1c24,000$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,8643256.3%18 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+565.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes7c20,941$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.992010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid+470.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed Yes6c15,513$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+219.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes66c15,386$10,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,190.4116247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…158bbacked Yes6c15,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked No12c12,872$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,268.331283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c12,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.81712.9%5 W · 166 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-37.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x797f…c983backed No1c11,178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,077.982100%2 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+7,155.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed No78c10,497$8,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.336634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked No2c10,035$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,844.664100%4 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+1,793.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4d0…af08backed Yes2c10,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653333.3%11 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c68…0df1backed Yes4c10,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No2c9,524$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,357.497270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed No1c8,659$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,582.975642.9%24 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+260.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c8,116$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.382536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes14c8,110$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes10c8,031$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc930…64d9backed No2c7,331$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,177.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,387.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Yes4c6,649$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.043622.2%8 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes4c6,328$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.063330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a96…6b90backed Yes8c6,000$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick6cpaid+550%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No9c5,658$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.383834.2%13 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+91.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9afa…f178backed Yes3c5,400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fb…b06dbacked No69c5,015$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.241154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No1c5,006$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.3513422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x407d…1baebacked Yes12c5,000$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c4,711$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.647663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No70c4,627$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.3420551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35e…0188backed No80c4,535$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8025…4863backed Yes20c4,509$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes18c4,286$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.667234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No1c4,282$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.852061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes0c4,066$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924835.4%17 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes3c4,002$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.332442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked Yes4c3,958$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes25c3,872$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.284738.3%18 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+112.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes3c3,650$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes17c3,418$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.345657.1%32 W · 24 L+11.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+74.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb31e…4deebacked Yes3c3,101$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes5c3,009$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.823716.2%6 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204924.5%12 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes3c2,995$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No16c2,910$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.262846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed No74c2,907$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.559550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ff…5007backed Yes12c2,900$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes3c2,874$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.98110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes11c2,700$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.73548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No36c2,602$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.782030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb66…40b6backed Yes8c2,535$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.93128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aab…55bcbacked No2c2,363$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.361369.2%9 W · 4 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick15cpaid+1,345.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed No1c2,319$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.231770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+698%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No12c2,289$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.863863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x75a3…f0cfbacked No2c2,270$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+2,527.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes4c2,102$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e8…82d1backed Yes1c2,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe078…0de5backed No38c1,979$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+88.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568b…776cbacked Yes78c1,950$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…a0b9backed Yes17c1,948$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccc4…9267backed Yes6c1,902$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Yes5c1,855$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No37c1,706$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.9113131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No1c1,629$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+927.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed Yes7c1,615$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.358630.2%26 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,609$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.461541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed No18c1,534$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.22268.2%15 W · 7 L+8.5wins+0.38per pick30cpaid+162.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes4c1,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad67…d6e0backed Yes5c1,496$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704723.4%11 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…b608backed No2c1,450$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.352853.6%15 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+340.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes54c1,411$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.862213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d1c…89c0backed Yes3c1,370$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa231…57e1backed No16c1,334$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+105.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes5c1,300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.958744.8%39 W · 48 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1214…ebecbacked No18c1,300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0632343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+286.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes4c1,295$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4814141.8%59 W · 82 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1094…d30cbacked Yes6c1,288$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef6…fdcdbacked Yes2c1,279$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No10c1,233$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.242630.8%8 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed Yes14c1,188$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.878017.5%14 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x044d…71fabacked Yes2c1,154$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked No77c1,148$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0414335.7%51 W · 92 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c1,128$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.942541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes79c1,125$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.684136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes3c1,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+263.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed No23c1,098$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+226.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No43c1,097$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.045650%28 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…432bbacked Yes57c1,080$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5405…41b2backed No18c1,059$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.269100%9 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+112.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes3c1,055$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33c…702cbacked No11c1,045$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+125.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ef…6e64backed No69c1,009$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed No11c1,001$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+826.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed No8c1,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9204938.8%19 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3a6…3d43backed Yes4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes13c1,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327514.7%11 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed No80c1,000$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.