TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x606f…a0b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.5
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+512.7%+$399.75
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$175.75
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+900%+$450
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.57
Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$78.05
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+130.3%+$410.35
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.6%+$221.4
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+48.9%+$978.68
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+30.5%+$1,305.48
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,024
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$94.11
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$211
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$150.96
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$773
Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+137.2%+$668.22
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$623
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$5,886.95
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.96
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.