NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a8aaf843dde256aa72cc78309c82ffa25a4a7dca73c484a0494a971847b72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,011,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,274,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,011,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings | 25c | 600,830$148,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,552.15 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Magic | 75c | 156,780$117,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,196.89 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Kings | 27c | 153,969$41,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,492.54 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic | 78c | 132,558$103,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,584.37 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 24c | 105,497$25,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,700.96 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 76c | 100,000$75,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,300.16 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 74c | 94,648$70,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,387.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 76c | 64,482$48,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,586.24 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 74c | 63,443$46,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,569.08 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 76c | 56,482$42,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,552.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Kings | 18c | 55,389$9,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,967.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Magic | 62c | 49,432$30,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,710.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Magic | 76c | 41,000$31,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 73c | 35,284$25,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,442.48 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 73c | 32,472$23,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,728.54 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 30c | 26,409$7,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,958.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Magic | 75c | 25,199$18,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.55 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 68c | 23,914$16,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.41 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 52c | 23,256$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.54 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 73c | 21,898$16,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Magic | 68c | 19,354$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.1 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 75c | 18,034$13,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 75c | 16,271$12,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 77c | 15,334$11,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.62 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Kings | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Magic | 77c | 14,437$11,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.09 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Magic | 74c | 14,053$10,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.65 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Magic | 77c | 13,000$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Kings | 23c | 12,930$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 77c | 12,620$9,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 72c | 12,232$8,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 77c | 12,000$9,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.82 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Magic | 68c | 11,000$7,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Kings | 23c | 10,261$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.96 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 78c | 10,129$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 73c | 10,124$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 75c | 9,903$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.96 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Magic | 79c | 9,635$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.12 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Kings | 24c | 9,479$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.05 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 75c | 8,978$6,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.18 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 19c | 8,683$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Magic | 73c | 8,067$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.29 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings | 1c | 7,148$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings | 24c | 7,000$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kings | 26c | 6,889$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.47 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…a408backed Kings | 29c | 6,877$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Magic | 77c | 6,513$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.23 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 21c | 6,387$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Magic | 73c | 6,207$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.93 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Kings | 24c | 6,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…de31backed Magic | 57c | 6,157$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 76c | 6,131$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.44 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 1c | 5,922$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Magic | 52c | 5,772$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.22 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Kings | 23c | 5,265$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Kings | 24c | 5,193$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.22 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 5,157$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Kings | 23c | 5,000$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.82 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 76c | 5,000$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Kings | 24c | 4,989$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 25c | 4,850$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Magic | 77c | 4,777$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.49 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Kings | 28c | 4,724$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Magic | 76c | 4,605$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.26 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Magic | 76c | 4,549$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.71 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Magic | 74c | 4,512$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.66 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 39c | 4,383$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.96 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 77c | 4,091$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Magic | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic | 76c | 4,000$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Magic | 79c | 3,946$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.86 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked Magic | 73c | 3,800$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed Kings | 28c | 3,780$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.16 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Kings | 24c | 3,719$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kings | 17c | 3,671$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.75 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Kings | 48c | 3,594$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.34 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 13c | 3,233$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.67 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…c7c0backed Magic | 77c | 3,205$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Magic | 76c | 3,201$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.49 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Magic | 80c | 3,188$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.58 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 28c | 3,174$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kings | 21c | 3,081$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.6 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Kings | 31c | 3,052$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.78 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Magic | 77c | 2,843$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.02 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Kings | 16c | 2,824$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Magic | 54c | 2,754$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.33 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kings | 26c | 2,685$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.82 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 72c | 2,599$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.59 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Kings | 1c | 2,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…acb1backed Magic | 75c | 2,504$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…b5b8backed Kings | 24c | 2,496$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Magic | 76c | 2,482$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Magic | 69c | 2,466$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Kings | 49c | 2,314$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Magic | 73c | 2,277$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.85 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Magic | 62c | 2,258$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.04 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 77c | 2,190$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Kingsthis page
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.