NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721a5d6310ba425d49c7435a8db7ac892a33ef9cb5c0c6e69064a5dbc9a67cac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Magic | 50c | 50,427$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,426.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 49c | 47,828$23,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,435.79 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Kings | 51c | 34,489$17,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,589.33 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings | 50c | 24,973$12,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,586.54 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 50c | 21,970$10,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,971.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 51c | 19,412$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,511.76 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 49c | 16,398$8,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Magic | 50c | 8,910$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.27 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 51c | 8,431$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.37 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 49c | 5,358$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.92 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 51c | 4,024$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.78 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 51c | 3,728$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 49c | 3,553$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 48c | 3,307$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.72 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Magic | 53c | 2,999$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 51c | 2,955$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Kings | 52c | 2,833$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.11 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 50c | 2,583$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 50c | 2,491$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Kings | 50c | 2,234$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.8 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Kings | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Magic | 50c | 1,493$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.44 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 47c | 1,433$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.24 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 50c | 1,379$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 49c | 1,366$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.55 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…f902backed Magic | 49c | 923.29$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Magic | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kings | 49c | 716$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Magic | 50c | 709.42$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 41c | 644.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 48c | 628.06$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 50c | 608$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kings | 52c | 577.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Magic | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Kings | 42c | 453.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Magic | 51c | 447$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 50c | 440.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Magic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Kings | 52c | 383.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 49c | 351$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 50c | 339$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 48c | 336.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Kings | 52c | 295.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Magic | 53c | 282.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 51c | 265.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 53c | 240.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Magic | 56c | 239.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kings | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 50c | 196.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 45c | 193.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kings | 45c | 178$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Magic | 45c | 169.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Kings | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Kings | 51c | 156.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 51c | 138.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Magic | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Magic | 50c | 135.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Magic | 49c | 130.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Kings | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Magic | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Magic | 49c | 109.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…7ac0backed Magic | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…5a71backed Kings | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 47c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Magic | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 49c | 98.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Kings | 67c | 90.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Magic | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…782bbacked Magic | 51c | 80.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Magic | 44c | 80.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Kings | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Magic | 49c | 78.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Magic | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Magic | 47c | 64.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Magic | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Kings | 51c | 60.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Magic | 50c | 58.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kings | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Magic | 53c | 57.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 48c | 52.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Magic | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…cbddbacked Magic | 40c | 50.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Magic | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)this page
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Magic vs. KingsMagic won
- Magic vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.