TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac0a…f89e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
591
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT38251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 382 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$8,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,297.07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,872.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,767.95
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,253.4
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$5,496.12
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,900
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,024.09
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,199.99
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$633.54
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.32
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,550.54
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,037.76
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,133.91
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,017.72
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,526.46
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$6,709.56
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,015.29
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,355.15
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,238.04
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,630
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,240
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,120
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11,776Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12,758.12
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,550.49
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,893.9
Showing 25 of 382 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT7146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,756.25
Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$171.1
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,368.17
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.93
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$135
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$4,137.56
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$10,262.56
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$107,199.86
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,199.96
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)backed Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$868.48
Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,397.99
Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,374.55
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,698.42
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,150
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.41
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46,169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$28,707.08
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,120
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.58
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66%+$7,910.25
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.79
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,377.18
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.14
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,540.7
BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,769Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,821.78
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,570
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$33,250.33
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,418.58
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,316.1
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,367.46
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,775.69
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+136%+$22,570.08
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12,750
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,934.65
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.52
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,456.26
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$16,296.01
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$1,667.39
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,106.32
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$78.69
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.57
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11,122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$14,850.58
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,652
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$760.11
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$15,297.96
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.3
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5,115.95
Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$58.5
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.43
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,940
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6,800
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,280
Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,093.31
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040.32
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,980.03
Sharks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$181.27
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,160.44
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,864Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$3,645.08
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.2%+$6,774.13
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$240.75
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$4,150.85
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.25
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,449.01
Predators vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$183.79
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$6,900
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,354.26
Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$3,500
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8,600
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$3,250
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$511.54
Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,864.94
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,821.86
Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,125
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,611.39
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,649.96
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,094Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,303.17
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+130.6%+$44,739.98
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$7,800
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,100
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+105%+$9,906.27
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,200
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,560
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+86.1%+$8,330
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$8,700
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$6,370
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$5,060
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,940
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$6,574.16
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$7,250.39
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,989.5
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,040
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,767.04
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,752.96
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.82
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$5,850
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$5,083.95
Miami vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$304
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$8,250
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$501.43
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,825.81
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$6,934.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,719.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,999.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.