NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66b329555c0aa5dc942b7467721e897cba11c8191b0d26f4811c2cf1101f787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 55c | 35,032$19,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,267.48 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 45c | 9,870$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.5 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 45c | 5,393$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.15 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 44c | 5,370$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.2 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 4,760$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 4,516$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.56 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 45c | 2,010$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 1,134$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.21 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,006$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.63 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 44c | 736$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 656$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.36 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 44c | 374$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 55c | 302.22$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 52c | 286.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 267$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 252$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 44c | 246.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 212$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 183.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 143.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 141.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed Over | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 53c | 92.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under | 56c | 72.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 40c | 67.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 53c | 64.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…552cbacked Under | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 45c | 61.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 57.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Under | 56c | 53.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 51.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Over | 45c | 49.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 56c | 48.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 48.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 41c | 42.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 44c | 39.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…e8b5backed Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 45c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 45c | 30.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 45c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 45c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 54c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 73c | 23.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…8114backed Under | 56c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. Blue JacketsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.