NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc468858fbf01596cb3cf08965a1990d18e9ee498413e2c708b4d6adfcd467c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 423.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 295.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 42c | 263.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 73c | 221.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 198.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 42c | 197.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 68c | 189.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 19c | 187.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Under | 43c | 185.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 62c | 162.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 148.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 107.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 33c | 78.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 44c | 61.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…aeacbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 35c | 33.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 79c | 29.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 56c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 68c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 67c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. Blue JacketsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.