NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbedf1b4663123abcfc98884dc556224ed94ae100a6af9ec404db65c7c6fb04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Blue Jackets, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Bruins | 65c | 1,631$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 1,310$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 686.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Bruins | 64c | 499.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 486.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 406.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Bruins | 63c | 298.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 256.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 254.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Bruins | 59c | 254.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Bruins | 63c | 237.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 224$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Bruins | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b1ccbacked Bruins | 64c | 156.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 124.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 112.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bruins | 63c | 88.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bruins | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Bruins | 23c | 74.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 65.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bruins | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 39.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Bruins | 65c | 37.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bruins | 37c | 34.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Bruins | 63c | 33.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Bruins | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 31.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Bruins | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…c02dbacked Bruins | 65c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Bruins | 47c | 25.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bruins | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Bruins | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Bruins | 64c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Bruins | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. Blue JacketsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.