TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07c9…9f5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
933
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT36561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 365 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.81
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.67
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.54
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.62
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 365 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT31650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 316 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.28
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$13.45
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Showing 25 of 316 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT25150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 251 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.29
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$46.59
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.34
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.43
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Showing 25 of 251 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.