MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d13bc1282bbd57b94e2012b8ce544d4c055fad806918e97b085e12e0ae7b0cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $858,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 135,385$62,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,276.9 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 57,734$19,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,739.41 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 42,784$23,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,680.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 38,565$16,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,582.99 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 36,606$19,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,672.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 31,516$16,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked New York Yankees | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 67c | 27,842$18,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 25,708$12,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,082.82 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 22,259$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.72 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 18,623$10,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 16,649$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 15,943$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.77 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 15,217$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.39 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed New York Yankees | 40c | 12,983$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 12,933$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.79 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 12,146$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.12 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 11,978$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 11,753$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 11,351$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Yankees | 72c | 11,000$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.66 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,616$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.76 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 53c | 10,505$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.67 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked New York Yankees | 56c | 9,782$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 9,714$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.65 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 9,205$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 8,805$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 55c | 7,634$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 53c | 7,095$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 6,878$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.86 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 59c | 6,841$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed New York Yankees | 57c | 6,100$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 57c | 5,999$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 5,380$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed New York Yankees | 62c | 4,800$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,573$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 4,533$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed New York Yankees | 55c | 4,510$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 4,494$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 4,424$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 4,278$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.76 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,234$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.51 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,004$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 4,001$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 38c | 3,789$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 3,763$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 3,529$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,151$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.66 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 65c | 2,986$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.91 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,908$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.49 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,788$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,745$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.8 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,701$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.17 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 2,659$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,595$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.03 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,563$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.76 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,479$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,297$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,051$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 2,045$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.46 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,045$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,002$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.88 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.09 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.01 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 1,960$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 1,921$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,906$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,892$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,878$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 1,840$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,796$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.7 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,754$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,738$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 1,730$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.93 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,684$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.48 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,520$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,440$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 1,435$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,409$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,348$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.16 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,234$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.07 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,132$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,090$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.82 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,045$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 1,045$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.