MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a27c2168e55ea8570b4206816be08fc1298303a89252bd4dd2cfa2c89bbf27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 20,919$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 4,026$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.24 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,820$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.8 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,372$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.78 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,917$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 1,772$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.38 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,666$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,475$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.55 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 1,369$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 1,195$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,120$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,030$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.61 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed New York Yankees | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 996.02$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.82 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 995.89$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.76 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 899.35$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 866.75$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 831.44$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 712.15$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 44c | 635.88$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees | 47c | 556.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 514.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.21 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees | 25c | 423.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed New York Yankees | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 416.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 377.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 287.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 44c | 281.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 280.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 278.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 275.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 250.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 241.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 217.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed New York Yankees | 41c | 207$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 203$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…0afebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 165.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 46c | 139.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…5124backed New York Yankees | 44c | 133.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 129.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed New York Yankees | 43c | 126.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 125.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 43c | 124.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed New York Yankees | 44c | 115.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Yankees | 46c | 113.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 45c | 113.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…06f6backed New York Yankees | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 103.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed New York Yankees | 25c | 101.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa2…2b5dbacked New York Yankees | 21c | 96.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -81%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees | 50c | 95.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 81.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed New York Yankees | 44c | 78.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 20c | 72.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 23c | 71.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 67.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 65.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 56.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 55.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 54.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed New York Yankees | 23c | 52.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 49.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…2435backed New York Yankees | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed New York Yankees | 42c | 41.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked New York Yankees | 30c | 40.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 36.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.