TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees48c20,919$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals54c4,026$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.242,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kansas City Royals56c2,820$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.827254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Kansas City Royals52c2,372$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.7832251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals53c1,917$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kansas City Royals58c1,772$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3839041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals50c1,666$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Kansas City Royals52c1,475$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.5547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals58c1,369$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.121,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees54c1,195$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.35,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Kansas City Royals52c1,150$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5529262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees41c1,120$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.838,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Kansas City Royals54c1,030$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Kansas City Royals51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49019546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9702…9453backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed New York Yankees44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408638.4%33 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b0…1579backed Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals56c996.02$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.821,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals56c995.89$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.761,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals46c899.35$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.226,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals52c866.75$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals59c831.44$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.748,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals57c712.15$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2324946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees44c635.88$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.673,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees47c556.18$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.473748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals51c514.71$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals52c500$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees25c423.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed New York Yankees48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals53c416.62$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals56c377.3$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7755052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees46c287.4$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4619335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Kansas City Royals53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0218356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees44c281.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.674,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked New York Yankees43c280.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.542128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals53c278.2$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.471,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals52c275.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.445,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Kansas City Royals73c250.53$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4641836.4%152 W · 266 L-31.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals53c241.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.584,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals52c217.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed New York Yankees41c207$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8712143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Kansas City Royals59c203$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2311748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.261,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4321…0afebacked New York Yankees43c165.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees46c139.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.331,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Kansas City Royals72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Kansas City Royals74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16240.3%25 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…5124backed New York Yankees44c133.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals52c129.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.162,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed New York Yankees43c126.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4426747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked New York Yankees50c125.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7244744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees43c124.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.233,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed New York Yankees44c115.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3155643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed New York Yankees46c113.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.661,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees45c113.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.832,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4347589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xca96…06f6backed New York Yankees46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals55c103.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed New York Yankees25c101.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Kansas City Royals58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4224152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa2…2b5dbacked New York Yankees21c96.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-81%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees50c95.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.682,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked New York Yankees43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked New York Yankees57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees43c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4146854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees43c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4172154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals77c81.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Kansas City Royals46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.235341.1%145 W · 208 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed New York Yankees44c78.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4523454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Kansas City Royals53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5819154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees20c72.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.536,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees23c71.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.325,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kansas City Royals50c67.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.637357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Kansas City Royals56c65.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Kansas City Royals52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.867453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals50c56.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.322,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals57c55.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.081,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Kansas City Royals45c54.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2533934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…fc85backed New York Yankees23c52.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals63c49.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.582,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Kansas City Royals52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Kansas City Royals52c42.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…2435backed New York Yankees50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed New York Yankees42c41.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.422035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked New York Yankees30c40.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.227650%38 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Kansas City Royals51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Kansas City Royals69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5725260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Kansas City Royals52c36.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3199447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.