MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafc888bfe13214627e5d8c9a08b4bfff611e30ad4dae4fdbb100ef174d3b61c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 44,751$20,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,165.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 54c | 30,040$16,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,221.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 19,120$8,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,324.8 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 18,875$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.81 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 54c | 17,328$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,342.42 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 10,747$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.23 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 47c | 8,788$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.66 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 6,593$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.88 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 47c | 6,416$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.11 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 46c | 6,256$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.24 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 5,680$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 61c | 5,649$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 3,380$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 3,212$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.22 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,838$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 2,340$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.97 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,820$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 1,200$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 71c | 957.63$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 887.25$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 29c | 861.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 857.95$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 734.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 54c | 586.52$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 48c | 577.4$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 440$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 335.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 298$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 260.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 40c | 256.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 252$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 232.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 226$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 21c | 226$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 46c | 213.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 76c | 179.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 175.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 46c | 175$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 55c | 145.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 74c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 51c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 106.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 101.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 45c | 96.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 46c | 81.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Under | 47c | 62.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 54.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 50.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 45c | 47.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 43.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 47c | 37.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Under | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 33.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 54c | 32.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 73c | 32.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 47c | 32.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 46c | 30.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Over | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 79c | 22.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 49c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 22.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.