TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fee…3d67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT5947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.27
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.94
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.4
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.21
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$33.43
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.2
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.27
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+567.6%+$1,408.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.4%+$81.34
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$53.7
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.77
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.72
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.74
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$53.13
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$96.88
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.69
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.32
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.26
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.37
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.