TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Knicks42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,999.9611333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Spurs58c86,754$50,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,317.3818151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks40c24,882$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,927.8635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs59c16,822$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs58c14,857$8,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,630.9564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs58c13,013$7,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,586.8311447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks41c9,691$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.9456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs59c5,640$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.7610049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks41c5,067$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks44c3,618$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.3610944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Knicks42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs58c3,323$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Spurs60c3,101$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs58c3,058$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.8525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spurs59c2,696$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.966043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs52c2,650$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.9931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Knicks43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks48c2,024$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Knicks42c2,017$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.611872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs57c1,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.1964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs16c1,725$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks42c1,601$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.6743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Knicks43c1,225$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.281225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks41c1,222$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.765349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs52c1,169$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Spurs10c1,145$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9421640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Knicks44c1,143$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.593348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks41c1,114$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.3852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Knicks42c1,069$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.6823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks40c1,054$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks41c1,000$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53120247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks49c872.44$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Knicks41c832.73$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3110138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Knicks43c797.79$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.741060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs59c788$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Spurs60c712.67$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.61080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+76.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks64c681.06$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks42c649.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee1…537bbacked Spurs64c619.14$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks41c599.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks52c590.46$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.34344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs60c584.45$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.675238.5%20 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Spurs56c550$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Spurs60c487.6$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5614552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs12c457.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Spurs58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks40c398.47$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.118653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Spurs58c378$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2412450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Knicks43c320.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.934156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks40c320$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Knicks50c302.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.289642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Knicks43c302.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Spurs58c302$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Spurs58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs59c296.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17514049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Knicks38c262.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.778100%8 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+132%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks41c260$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks61c253.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8832654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Knicks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5610745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks34c224.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks37c222.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4515246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs11c208$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Spurs60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks51c186.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks42c179.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks51c179$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.921,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs58c174.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd6…107bbacked Spurs58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Spurs55c165.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.885740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks53c160.21$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Spurs58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.83256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Spurs58c151$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.581952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks44c150.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs46c149.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Spurs58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks51c104.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs38c104.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Spurs60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Spurs59c98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.825756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Knicks43c96.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.243066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks49c95.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.