TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs68c2,231$1,514 inWon+$716.3353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks29c1,756$505 inLost-$505.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks37c1,160$431 inLost-$430.6410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks13c1,070$139 inLost-$139.0612741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs69c1,028$706 inWon+$322.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks13c501.93$65 inLost-$65.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…0ea7backed Knicks12c280.4$35 inLost-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks28c271.82$76 inLost-$75.642615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks11c271.09$28 inLost-$28.461,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks35c268$94 inLost-$9493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks13c261.66$34 inLost-$34.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks36c138.89$50 inLost-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs71c104$74 inWon+$30.1625150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks11c103.89$11 inLost-$11.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Knicks30c100$30 inLost-$3016146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Knicks12c100$12 inLost-$126619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Knicks20c100$20 inLost-$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs70c91.44$64 inWon+$27.4321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs70c88$62 inWon+$26.051,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Knicks25c80$20 inLost-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs73c72.78$53 inWon+$19.6589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Knicks29c67.83$20 inLost-$205129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Knicks31c52$16 inLost-$16.1239552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Knicks38c50.71$19 inLost-$19.273026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs70c50.53$35 inWon+$15.1659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs76c46.8$36 inWon+$11.2315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Spurs67c26.55$18 inWon+$8.684161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs70c25.62$18 inWon+$7.754161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Spurs70c25.53$18 inWon+$7.664360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs64c25$16 inWon+$9.19271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs70c23.45$16 inWon+$7.0452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.