TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$843,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$813,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c144,034$71,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,436.6510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c128,841$64,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,420.3825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over48c108,983$51,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,858.795940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over62c100,000$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under53c71,277$37,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,526.1543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under45c57,883$26,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,666.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c33,841$16,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,686.0655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under52c33,654$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,153.8520155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c30,000$15,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5501,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over48c29,394$14,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,052.218439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over50c24,700$12,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,289.0914538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over33c22,929$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,574.256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over48c20,657$9,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,915.593540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9614842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over47c19,000$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,93035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under51c17,371$8,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,511.618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Under51c16,625$8,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,146.072240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c16,319$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,769.161,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under38c16,063$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,959.161,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked Over46c12,756$5,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,894.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over49c12,200$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under52c11,540$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,539.23467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over33c11,429$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.7230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Over49c10,859$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.975655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c10,401$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.989945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c8,040$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.351,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3f8…9277backed Over47c7,998$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over57c7,463$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.452245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over48c6,514$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.0326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c6,122$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.752,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Under56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked Over59c4,986$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb170…354ebacked Over49c4,861$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c4,267$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c4,238$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under43c3,864$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.2811048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over50c3,513$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7854362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c3,485$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over48c3,303$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c3,253$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.771,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under52c3,247$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5303345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under65c2,789$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.9919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over48c2,534$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.6843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c2,503$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.291,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c2,436$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under52c2,403$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.585269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,379$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.9152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over38c2,275$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.2536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over48c1,815$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c1,797$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.6610447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Under51c1,626$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.669745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over49c1,523$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.425151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over34c1,515$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.761,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf9…7a19backed Under57c1,499$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.313246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c1,475$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.72,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over7c1,410$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,373$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over36c1,366$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2818557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.158851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Under52c1,292$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.411275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c1,285$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.971,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under60c1,233$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over9c1,218$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under51c1,200$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3112146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.271752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9920247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0436…0406backed Over49c1,093$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Under47c1,067$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.113043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Under48c1,046$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.833348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under55c1,020$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Over39c1,010$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.24344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over45c984.44$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over35c939.41$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.341,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over48c915$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over34c912.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over24c892.3$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.972615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over34c865.4$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6815648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over35c862.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over57c857.98$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.86544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over47c823.38$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.945839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under56c819.87$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7417250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under52c803.6$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.731361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c792.44$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.