TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c4,576$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.6293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c3,516$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under34c2,636$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.0853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c2,605$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.3642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over74c2,562$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.2162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under32c2,125$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6786048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c1,874$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.41,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under27c1,546$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under40c978.52$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under33c610.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under33c571.81$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.353964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under49c549.09$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9421640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c515.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9068838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c499.84$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.81,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c476.01$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over51c457.32$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over73c449.42$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4121574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under36c342.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.411,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over68c309.19$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1910861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over70c299$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over67c290.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Under35c289.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under27c263.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under27c206$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5927245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6853945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under45c199$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under41c191$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under28c189.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under33c186.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.727138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over70c173.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over46c163.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over71c150.52$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over68c127.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.944961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over65c124.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over78c122.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under33c119.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under34c116.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0219959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over60c116.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over66c105.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under26c103$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under27c101.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1922753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319655.2%53 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over55c96.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.542740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under50c94.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c89.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over66c81.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over70c76.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.734360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over70c76.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.664161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over70c76.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.664158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over71c75.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under30c75.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over69c71.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over60c69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f8…9801backed Over70c66.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over71c62.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1420762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c61.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under32c61.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under32c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over68c59.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.184261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under34c58.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over45c55.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7116429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Under37c53.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Under33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.079061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over63c44.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over64c40.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7416048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under33c32.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8314931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c28.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over70c28.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.437549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over64c27.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over54c25.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over70c22.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90c…5907backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9445…b597backed Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb5…d972backed Over72c18.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.112972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over71c15.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.575952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over66c15.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.